Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 67.2%
Prévisionnistes
62
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 24, 06:27 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI will commonly be used to code simple apps by the end of the following years:
Manifold MarketsWill Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030.
- The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.
