Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 26, 16:16 UTC30 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
PolymarketWill the movie "The Legend of Zelda" (2027) gross more than a billion dollars at the worldwide box office?
Manifold MarketsWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsWill an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?
Manifold MarketsWill a single person make a billion dollars utilizing AI tools before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”