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Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?

DivertissementYearly7mo

Manifold MarketsSans KYC

Prévision communautaire actuelle

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99%

En tête parmi 11 options

Prévisionnistes

38

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

14 janv. 26, 16:1630 janv. 27, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie99%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”

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Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”