Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleYes, GenAI will become a permanent part of our daily lives permanently 76.4%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète11 oct. 26, 08:38 UTC31 déc. 29, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market resolves independently to YES or NO based on market conditions established before or during the 2030s:
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if major mainstream consumer operating systems (e.g., Windows, macOS, iOS, Android) and standard consumer software suites natively embed generative AI tools into default user workflows by December 31, 2029.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if daily generative AI usage remains concentrated among specialized technical, creative, or enterprise power-users rather than broad consumer adoption by December 31, 2029.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if generative AI maintains sustained, widespread consumer usage into standard daily routines through December 31, 2029.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if generative AI systems undergo systemic abandonment, regulatory bans, or technological obsolescence between January 1, 2030, and December 31, 2039.
