Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 86.6%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète3 févr. 26, 05:03 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon launch more times in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the combined mass of all Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launches to orbit in 2027 exceeds the combined mass of all Starship launches to orbit in 2027.
- It resolves NO if Starship launches more total mass to orbit than Falcon 9/Heavy combined.
- Mass is measured as the actual payload delivered to orbit, not including rocket stages or fairings such as the starship vehicle.