Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.3%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète12 juin 26, 23:59 UTC31 déc. 44, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Wales become a US state before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Canada become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWhich US Territories will be a part of a US State by 2045?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if England, or a successor political entity consisting substantially of the territory of England, is formally admitted to the United States as a U.S. state with an effective date before January 1st 2045.
- Resolution will be based on official legal recognition by the United States, such as an Act of Congress admitting England as a state, and the admission must have legally taken effect before the deadline.
- Resolves as NO if England has not become a U.S. state before January 1st 2045, including if it only becomes a U.S. territory, protectorate, commonwealth, associated state, military-administered region, or otherwise falls under U.S. influence without full U.S. statehood.
- If the entire United Kingdom, Great Britain, or another larger entity containing England is admitted as a single U.S. state, this market resolves YES only if England is included in that state at the time of admission.
