Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 74.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 22, 21:36 UTC2 janv. 27, 03:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elizabeth Holmes pardoned by Trump in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
Manifold MarketsWill Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?
FutuurReckless Ben in jail by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If Elizabeth Holmes, the founder of Theranos convicted of Wire Fraud in 2022, is in jail on Jan 1, 2027, this will resolve to YES.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 10,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 26 k €
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No+0.4pt98%
- Yes-0.4pt2%
- Volume total
- 404,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt25%
- October 31-1.5pt11%
- September 30-0.7pt3%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 202719%
- 2026-0.7pt5%
- Volume total
- 570,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+7.5pt59%
- 60+-11.5pt24%
- <20-0.3pt9%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan+1.0pt54%
- Leon Black+3.0pt34%
- Anthony Fauci-2.0pt26%
+39 résultats de plus
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Tim Walz in jail by which date?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 75% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If Elizabeth Holmes, the founder of Theranos convicted of Wire Fraud in 2022, is in jail on Jan 1, 2027, this will resolve to YES.