Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Manifold Markets cote Yes à 90% au 25 octobre 2026.

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Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.

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Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.8pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.8pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,2 M €

Volume 24h

126,6 k €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.8%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt28.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.4pt19.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt19.6%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.1%
• Google-5.0pt36.7%
• OpenAI-0.2pt6.1%

+12 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+8.0pt82%
• December 31,+4.5pt82%
• November 30,-1.0pt64%

+9 résultats de plus

• OpenRouter AI token usage in October
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan?
• DeepSeek market share this week
• OpenAI market share this week