Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.9%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète18 oct. 25, 21:13 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
Manifold MarketsFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
PolymarketWill the FDA approve retatrutide?
KalshiWill Retatrutide (new obesity drug) be FDA approved by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketRègles
overdose is an injection of more than 15mg in one day on any day
- https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/1979635982594105763
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 19,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+7.0pt98%
- Above 6000+4.0pt62%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 904,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- No-2.0pt95%
- Yes+2.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 513,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 k €
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Nigeria+17.0pt20%
- Rwanda13%
- Republic of the Congo7%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,9 k €
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Cremieux accidentally overdose on retatrutide by EOY2029 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Cremieux accidentally overdose on retatrutide by EOY2029 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Cremieux accidentally overdose on retatrutide by EOY2029 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Cremieux accidentally overdose on retatrutide by EOY2029 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : overdose is an injection of more than 15mg in one day on any day