Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète12 avr. 26, 08:03 UTC31 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?
Manifold MarketsWill Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTrump renames AI by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if there is a grant to MIRI by Coefficient Giving dated to between the start of 2026 and the end of 2028 listed on Coefficient Giving's site at the time when the first grant from 2029 is listed, or if Coefficient Giving no longer lists some grants but it is a matter of public record that CG has made such a grant.
- Grants made by Dustin Moskovitz, Cari Tuna, or other people tied to Coefficient Giving in their personal capacities rather than through CG do not count for the purposes of resolution.