Will Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026?
One-OffEntreprises et affaires3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 90.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète21 juil. 26, 14:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill Coefficient Giving make a grant to MIRI in 2026, 2027 or 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?
Manifold MarketsWill X (formerly Twitter) go back to being a public company before 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Coefficient Giving is the grantmaker and advisor formerly known as Open Philanthropy; it announced the name change in November 2025.
- It recommends grants across global health, farm animal welfare, biosecurity, AI safety and governance, and other areas, historically funded mainly by Good Ventures (the foundation of Dustin Moskovitz and Cari Tuna) and increasingly by other donors through its cause-specific funds.
- Coefficient reported directing about $650 million in grants in 2024 and over $1 billion in 2025 (its largest year, up more than 50% year on year), and over $5 billion since 2014.
- Funding directed from donors other than Good Ventures rose from over $100 million in 2024 to over $200 million in 2025.
- For 2026 it says it aims to significantly scale its funding again and to prepare for even larger growth in 2027 and 2028.
- Coefficient has said it is weighing whether to advise Good Ventures - which is approaching a pace consistent with spending down in its founders' lifetimes - to spend significantly faster given shortening AI timelines, and that a key input is whether it can find opportunities that cost-effectively and rapidly absorb the available capital.
