How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2025?
YearlyEntreprises et affaires3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle350-400m 30.1%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète20 août 25, 17:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?
Manifold MarketsWill I manage to get money for my torn dollar bills?
Manifold MarketsWill manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PolymarketWill Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
KalshiRègles
GiveWell is a nonprofit that conducts in-depth research to determine the most effective charitable giving opportunities.
- In recent years, their fundraising has shown consistent growth, with approximately $253 million raised from donors excluding Open Philanthropy in 2022, $255 million in 2023, and $308 million in 2024.
- In April 2023 they made the following forecast, albeit with wide confidence intervals:
- [image][image]Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the total amount of money raised by GiveWell during the 2025 fiscal year (February 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026), excluding all funds from Open Philanthropy.
- The amount will be determined using GiveWell's official financial reports or public announcements.