Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.4%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 avr. 25, 08:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
Manifold Markets💰CoolFold Financial Advice #2: Suggest Investments for Me & Predict their ROI, invest & win real money!
Manifold MarketsHow much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, Manifold Markets allows users to place bets using real money, where both deposits and withdrawals are conducted in fiat currency.
- The market will resolve to "No" if, by that date, Manifold Markets does not offer such functionality.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 482,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,7 k €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,6 k €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: