Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75.5%
Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 nov. 24, 20:54 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRègles
by my judgement
- @/strutheo/will-china-invade-the-kinmen-island
- @/strutheo/will-china-invade-any-territory-of
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : by my judgement