Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitiqueChina2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 72.5%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète8 nov. 24, 20:56 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : by my judgement