Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
US PoliticsOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète10 avr. 26, 18:42 UTC21 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve YES if:
- A triumphal arch is built off one end of the Arlington Bridge, across from the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C
- The arch is similar to the plans discussed in this article (i.e. around 250 feet in height, similar in design -- plans linked here).
- I reserve the right to exercise my discretion in determining whether the final arch is sufficiently similar to this plan.
- Construction is completed by noon on January 20th, 2029, when Trump leaves office.
- It will resolve NO otherwise, including if an arch is built but its design/size are completely different, it is in a substantially different location, or construction has commenced but is not completed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve YES if: