Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.1%
Prévisionnistes
66
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
6 déc. 25, 11:10 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats
- ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site.
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide.
- Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve using the monthly time series from the linked Statcounter site.
