Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026?
InflationOne-OffSanté et médecinePolitique commercialeAmérique latineBanques centralesMacro et économieÉconomie2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 01:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 janv. 26, 15:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Brazilians are better off overall compared to January 1, 2026 across three dimensions: economic conditions, health, and employment.
- Resolution will be based on official data from credible sources including the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the Central Bank of Brazil, and international organizations (IMF, World Bank, OECD).
- Economic indicators: Real GDP growth, inflation rate, real wages, and household purchasing power measured via official statistics.
- Health indicators: Life expectancy, infant mortality, healthcare access metrics, or disease prevalence data from Brazil's Ministry of Health or WHO.
- Employment indicators: Unemployment rate, employment levels, labor force participation, and wage growth from IBGE.