Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 21:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 50 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 100 kt on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Cumulative Brazilian exports of ferroniobium (HS 7202.93) to all global destinations, in kilotonnes, for the 6-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- The 3-month lag ensures MDIC/Siscomex data has been published for all months in the window.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: October (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: April – September (current year) total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 100 kt? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 100 kt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 100 kt? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 100 kt? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 100 kt on December 31, 2026.