Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.2%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 21:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt?
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 65 kt on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Cumulative Brazilian exports of ferroniobium (HS 7202.93) to all global destinations, in kilotonnes, for the 6-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- The 3-month lag ensures MDIC/Siscomex data has been published for all months in the window.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: October (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: April – September (current year) total
Marchés ouverts
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 124,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 453,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 3110%
- September 306%
- Volume total
- 64,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 64,6 k €
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt51.9%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt40.7%
- Jair Bolsonaro+2.0pt2.8%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt91%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.1pt7%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+15 résultats de plus
KALSHIMercyhurst vs New Mexico
- New Mexico+1.0pt99%
- Mercyhurst-1.0pt1%
- Volume total
- 29,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 15,5 k €
KALSHIWhat countries will Trump say in September?
- Colombia / Colombian99%
- Australia / Australian99%
- Afghanistan / Afghan99%
+36 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 32,6 k €
- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 65 kt on December 31, 2026.