Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.6%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 21:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 80 kt on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Cumulative Brazilian exports of ferroniobium (HS 7202.93) to all global destinations, in kilotonnes, for the 6-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- The 3-month lag ensures MDIC/Siscomex data has been published for all months in the window.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: October (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: April – September (current year) total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 80 kt on December 31, 2026.