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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

3.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 24%+0.0%
Qualite du marche

80 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

733,8 €

Liquidité

26,8 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

23.0% / 24.0%

Spread

4.3%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

+3.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

11 mars 26, 0:0031 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes24%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba.
  • This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not controlled by the PCC.
  • A “Yes” resolution does not require the formal dissolution of the PCC, provided the PCC no longer exercises de facto governing control over Cuba.
  • Leadership changes within the PCC, including replacement of the First Secretary, or governmental reforms that preserve the PCC’s de facto governing control over Cuba, will not suffice.

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba.
  • This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not controlled by the PCC.
  • A “Yes” resolution does not require the formal dissolution of the PCC, provided the PCC no longer exercises de facto governing control over Cuba.
  • Leadership changes within the PCC, including replacement of the First Secretary, or governmental reforms that preserve the PCC’s de facto governing control over Cuba, will not suffice.