PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Tarcísio de Freitas 99%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
60,5 €
Liquidité
86,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
13
Variation 7j
+1.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
27 avr. 26, 21:25 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
PolymarketSão Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
KalshiElected Senators for São Paulo in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsRègles
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — São Paulo Governor winner? · Tarcísio de Freitas 98%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour São Paulo Governor Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Tarcísio de Freitas à 99% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand São Paulo Governor Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- São Paulo Governor Election Winner doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment São Paulo Governor Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- Où São Paulo Governor Election Winner est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.