Probabilité implicite actuelle
Tarcísio de Freitas 92%-3.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidité
11,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
92.0% / 96.0%
Spread
4.3%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
25 avr. 26, 14:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Tarcísio de Freitas92%
Comparer les plateformes· Tarcísio de Freitas
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global80% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 94% | 0pt | 363,2 € | 117,2 k € | il y a 21 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 92% | -2pt | 0,9 € | 11,4 k € | il y a 21 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
0.6%2mo
94%
+0.6%5%
1%
+22 résultats de plus
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total212,3 k €
Volume 24h363,2 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes78979879879879-24 j
POLYMARKETYes78979879879879-24 jTendance du volume
$12 juil.9j de données26 juil.
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If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.