Probabilité implicite actuelle
Kim Kataguiri 91%+87.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,9 €
Liquidité
112,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
133.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
25 avr. 26, 14:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
Kim Kataguiri91%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
0.8%3mo
-2.5%82%
+0.8%13%
+0.3%4%
+22 résultats de plus
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total64,1 k €
Volume 24h1,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.