Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 mars 23, 15:07 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Barron Trump be a billionaire at age 35?
Manifold MarketsWill Barron Trump enter politics?
Manifold MarketsWill I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Barron Trump ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66.3%
- No change-2.0pt32.7%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.1pt91.1%
- Republican Party8.9%
- Volume total
- 32,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 849,7 k €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt14%
+50 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 572,5 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 3177%
- December 31+3.3pt62%
- November 3048%
+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-0.1pt51%
- Marco Rubio15%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
- Texas Senate winner?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Barron Trump ever evict one of his immediate family members? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Barron Trump ever evict one of his immediate family members? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Barron Trump ever evict one of his immediate family members? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2041.