Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 59.9%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète1 mai 24, 03:09 UTC31 déc. 26, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRègles
Will Griffin land on the Moon and transmit data back to Earth?
- Upright landing is not required.
- Functioning payloads are not required.
- Any data or telemetry from the vehicle or any payload is adequate.
- Resolves No if the landing fails or the mission is cancelled.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Griffin land on the Moon and transmit data back to Earth?