Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 mai 23, 15:25 UTC1 janv. 33, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
Manifold MarketsWhich Artemis HLS system will land on the Moon
Manifold MarketsWill more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
Manifold MarketsNext England National Team Head Coach
PolymarketWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRègles
NASA has just selected National Team's proposal for the second human landing system.
- They intend to use it with Artemis V, which is currently scheduled for 2029.
- Will the lander be ready in time? If not, they may opt to use another Starship HLS.
- If the lander isn't ready yet and they use a Starship mission but call it "Artemis VI", skipping over "Artemis V", then this market resolves to No. The intention is to ask whether the fifth Artemis mission uses National Team's lander.
- If there's an "interim" mission used for Artemis 3, such as LEO docking and reentry, then this market applies to Artemis 6 instead of 5.
- Basically asking, will National Team's lander be ready for a mission after the first two official HLS crew landings?