Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 69.2%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète29 mars 24, 11:03 UTC6 déc. 60, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will food be grown on mars before a surgery takes place on the moon
Manifold MarketsWill Kyriakos Mitsotakis still be prime minister of Greece when the next election takes place
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is achieved before Manifest 2027, will Manifest 2027 occur?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
ASI taken from other markets on manifold
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon doit être résolu le 6 décembre 2060.
- Comment Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : ASI taken from other markets on manifold