Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 03:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 97.2%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète3 août 25, 18:27 UTC2 janv. 27, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?
- Apple is expected to launch the A20 chip in 2026, possibly with advanced AI capabilities (Neural Engine, 2nm process, etc.).
- This market resolves YES if Apple officially announces or releases an iPhone in 2026 with a chip clearly positioned as AI-focused.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.