Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 97%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète3 août 25, 18:27 UTC2 janv. 27, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?
- Apple is expected to launch the A20 chip in 2026, possibly with advanced AI capabilities (Neural Engine, 2nm process, etc.).
- This market resolves YES if Apple officially announces or releases an iPhone in 2026 with a chip clearly positioned as AI-focused.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+15.5pt86%
- 2026+46.5pt74%
- September 30, 2026+34.0pt48%
- Volume total
- 114,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 61,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+14.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer+8.0pt26.7%
- No solution by Dec 31, 2027-17.0pt13.3%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.0pt92%
- 2026+43.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+26.0pt38%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+8.3pt64.1%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt19.4%
- Gemini-0.1pt6.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%+1.0pt96%
- Above 2.45%+29.0pt85%
- Above 2.6%+48.0pt68%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+5.5pt75%
- Moonshot-6.5pt20%
- Z.ai+0.1pt3%
+8 résultats de plus
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Tencent market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best AI this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 97% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?