US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Politique américaineOne-OffTechRussie / UkraineChine1mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.5%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète16 janv. 25, 20:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
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Market resolves YES if credible government agencies, security firms, or major news outlets report that US export restrictions contributed to documented cases of large-scale AI chip theft, on scale over $2M, whether stolen during delivery or from datacenters.
- (Theft implies that chip senders/owners must be against it.)
- https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-administration-proposals-ai-chip-restrictions-nvidia-china-russia/
- https://www.pcgamer.com/hardware/graphics-cards/nvidia-denounces-biden-administrations-rigged-and-misguided-new-ai-chip-export-restrictions/
