Will anyone accept a $1M Millennium Prize for solving a problem this century?
IAOne-OffRécompensesScienceManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.6%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète10 sept. 26, 21:01 UTC31 déc. 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2101 (the end of the 21st century), the Clay Mathematics Institute (or its official successor organization) awards a Millennium Prize for the solution of any of the seven Millennium Prize Problems, and at least one recipient officially accepts the associated $1,000,000 cash prize (or their portion of it, if the prize is split).
- The market resolves to NO if either:
- December 31, 2100 passes without any individual or entity accepting a Millennium Prize; or
- All seven Millennium Prize Problems have been officially resolved and, for every prize awarded, all recipients decline the associated prize money, making a future YES resolution impossible.
- Notes and Edge Cases: