Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNobody (% of prize not given out at all) 57.9%+32.9ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+32.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
8 sept. 26, 15:17 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve in proportion of each party's % of the 1M prize they receive, in relation to the Navier-Stokes solution probably about to be announced by OpenAI
- Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a party is awarded the prize but rejects it, they will be considered to have not received it for the purposes of resolution.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Nobody (% of prize not given out at all) à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve in proportion of each party's % of the 1M prize they receive, in relation to the Navier-Stokes solution probably about to be announced by OpenAI