Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 17:55 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 83%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète1 juil. 23, 09:24 UTC31 déc. 32, 21:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
Manifold MarketsIn twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?
Manifold MarketsRussia military action against EU country by which date?
PolymarketEU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Currently the highest is France at 1.84 (live births per woman).
- Note that the measure I'm using here is slightly different from "replacement rate" (which is 2.1).