Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.2%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 23, 23:56 UTC1 janv. 28, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill any country leave the Abraham Accords by EO2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
KalshiWhich of these countries will leave the EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
MetaculusWill some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Only counts events after market creation.
- What matters is the date of actually leaving, not the date of deciding to leave.