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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueEurope3a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Italy
Italy 5%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

79,3 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

2.5% / 4.5%

Spread

80.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

18 févr. 25, 15:001 janv. 30, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Italy5%

Règles

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0 €
Oui: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

86,6 €
Oui: 13.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
EU has a new member before 2030?

EU has a new member before 2030?

0 €
Oui: 74%KalshiKALSHI
Metaculus

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0 €
Oui: 4%MetaculusMETACULUS
Manifold Markets

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026

1,7 k €
Oui: 93.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0 €
Oui: 4%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,804.74+2.15%EthereumETH$1,655.68+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.36%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+0.29%BNBBNB$595.92+1.65%

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Règles

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.