Prévision communautaire actuelle
No, AI technology will continue to operate and evolve, despite significant opposition and regulatory pressure from the anti-AI movement. 78.3%+28.3ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+28.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète1 nov. 26, 08:17 UTC31 déc. 39, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will anti-AI movement cause all AI technology infrastructures and chatbots to abolish and defunct before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill global far-right alliances abolish and defunct generative AI and all AI technology before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill all pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals cause all AI infrastructures to defunct before 2050?
Manifold MarketsMajor semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market covering outcomes through December 31, 2039.
- Each answer resolves independently based on the state of global artificial intelligence infrastructure, public chatbots, and legal/regulatory status prior to January 1, 2040:
- "Yes, all AI infrastructure and chatbots will be completely abolished and rendered defunct due to the anti-AI movement before 2040." resolves YES if, before 2040, a coordinated legal, regulatory, or activist campaign results in the total shutdown, legal abolition, or physical dismantling of all major AI datacenters, public/commercial LLM deployments, and foundation model infrastructure globally, rendering them non-operational.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- "No, AI technology will continue to operate and evolve, despite significant opposition and regulatory pressure from the anti-AI movement." resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2039, major commercial or open foundation models and enterprise AI infrastructure remain actively maintained, deployed, and functional in major economies.
