Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle>=$10B 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-2.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 juil. 25, 13:03 UTC1 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Will Anthropic achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.
- No grace period: report must occur by December 31
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 132,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 322,4 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote >=$10B à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Anthropic achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.