Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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13
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète14 mai 26, 21:23 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiRègles
"Yes" if Rayner is Prime Minister on or before 1st December 2026, and "No" otherwise.
- Does not resolve "No" immediately if someone other than Rayner and Starmer becomes PM, since they may resign and be replaced by Rayner.
- Resolves "No" immediately if Rayner dies.
- Resolves "N/A" if the office of Prime Minister is abolished before December.
