Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
Criminalité et justiceOne-OffMacro et économieRégulationEurope1mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Inheritance Tax Rise · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Inheritance Tax Rise 26%En tête parmi 5 options
Inheritance Tax Rise 26%Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Inheritance Tax RiseÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
19 août 26, 14:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Inheritance Tax Rise
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. No market resolves on whether a measure is called a "wealth tax." Each market names one specific measure and resolves only on that measure, whatever it is named. A measure set out in the Chancellor's Budget statement or in the Budget documents published by HM Treasury qualifies, and it need not be legislated or in force before Dec 1, 2026. Measures announced by the Scottish or Welsh governments or the Northern Ireland Executive do NOT count. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Retraction of previously announced commitments Each market resolves on any announcement meeting its description, with no minimum size: Capital Gains Tax Rise: an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax, even if another main rate is reduced Mansion Tax Increase: an increase in the charges of the High Value Council Tax Surcharge, or a reduction in its entry threshold Inheritance Tax Rise: an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of a relief or exemption Annual Wealth Tax: a new annual tax on total net wealth above a threshold. A one-off levy or a tax on a single asset class does NOT qualify Council Tax Replacement: replacing council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax
Règles de chaque résultat
- Inheritance Tax Rise
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mansion Tax Increase
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Council Tax Replacement
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the replacement of council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Capital Gains Tax Rise
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Annual Wealth Tax
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces a new annual tax charged on the total net wealth of individuals above a threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.