Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 70%
Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète18 avr. 24, 00:53 UTC27 févr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the Andrew Tate trial start? (regarding the human trafficking / organized crime charges)
Manifold MarketsWhen will Andrew Tate be convicted of human trafficking?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
PolymarketRègles
The UK have issued a European arrest warrant for Andrew Tate and his brother.
- A Romanian court has approved a request from Britain to extradite Andrew Tate but postponed doing so until Romanian trial proceedings finish.
- Will this result in Tate being found guilty in the UK?
- Close date will be extended as necessary.
- Resolution criteria:
- Appearing in court remotely still counts as yes (as long as found guilty)
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK? doit être résolu le 27 février 2027.
- Comment Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The UK have issued a European arrest warrant for Andrew Tate and his brother.