Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
26 juil. 26, 17:02 UTC1 févr. 28, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "Why I Left Google DeepMind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "…but have the weights left the server?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade containment; we need more details is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.
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- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.