Will an American walk on the Moon during Trump's second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffSpaceUS PoliticsChina2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète20 juin 25, 03:25 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an American astronaut walks on the Moon between January 20, 2025, and January 20, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official NASA announcements and reputable news sources.
- NASA's Artemis program aims to return humans to the Moon.
- Artemis III, the mission intended to achieve this, has faced multiple delays.
- As of December 2024, NASA announced a postponement of Artemis III to mid-2027 due to technical challenges, including heat shield issues on the Orion capsule.
