Prévision communautaire actuelle
He declines to run a third time and steps down 77%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
104
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète19 avr. 25, 15:44 UTC26 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRègles
This question is intended to be comprehensive for all possible ways trump’s second term could end.
- Update 2025-04-28 (PST): - If Trump is impeached and then resigns before or during the Senate trial, the market will be resolved as resigns.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump tries to run for a third term and fails (e.g. is prevented from being placed on the ballot by a court decision), the market will resolve as "runs and loses".
