Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 69.9%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète9 mars 24, 22:45 UTC1 mars 32, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI extend English before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that at least 16 AI-generated words or phrases have become commonly used in the English language before January 1st 2032.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031
- @/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2032 (this question)
- Other questions for 2032:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 8 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 84,1 k €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 652,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 865,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- 915,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 k €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will AI extend English before 2032? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will AI extend English before 2032? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will AI extend English before 2032? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2032.
- Comment Will AI extend English before 2032? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that at least 16 AI-generated words or phrases have become commonly used in the English language before January 1st 2032.