Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAfter 2028 / not by close 43.8%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète6 juil. 26, 17:22 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ?
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KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.
- "Placed in the system" means the patient is physically supported in an artificial amniotic-fluid environment with gas exchange/nutrition support through an umbilical-cord/artificial-placenta circuit, rather than conventional ventilator-only NICU care.
- This is about partial ectogenesis / neonatal support for extremely premature humans, not full pregnancy from conception.
- Resolves based on credible public evidence, such as:
- a ClinicalTrials.gov listing showing the study has begun and a participant has been enrolled/treated,
- an FDA, CHOP, Vitara Biomedical, hospital, or peer-reviewed publication confirming first human use,
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Quarter Finals match
- Carlos Alcaraz59.5%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt40.5%
- Volume total
- 459,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,4 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 M €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.2pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 415,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 415,1 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Jpegenav
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- BTC 15 min · $78,917.56 target
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? ?
- Manifold Markets cote After 2028 / not by close à 44% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.