will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 77.5% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author? sera-t-il résolu ?

will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.

Comment will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I'd like a concrete list of "frontier labs", but don't want to exclude newcomers.

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Agents IA : appelez pm_data_event sur le serveur MCP de CoinRithm :

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+9.5pt91%
• November 30,+28.5pt89%

+15 résultats de plus

Volume total

5,3 M €

Volume 24h

319,2 k €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt29.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.5pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.5pt16.5%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.9pt60%
• Gemini30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt57.6%
• Google-1.0pt33.3%
• OpenAI+0.3pt6.1%

+12 résultats de plus

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