Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 67%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 mai 24, 23:11 UTC1 janv. 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Mars landing occur?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessRègles
If it's a Mars landing mission and they orbit/do a flyby just because something fails and the plan changes mid-mission, it still counts as a landing mission.
- Phobos/Deimos landing missions also count as landing missions.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If it's a Mars landing mission and they orbit/do a flyby just because something fails and the plan changes mid-mission, it still counts as a landing mission.