Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
One-OffHealth & Medicine4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73.4%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 24, 06:53 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031?
Manifold MarketsNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
A COVID-like global pandemic refers to the restrictions and measures implemented by authorities as pointed below:
- Stay-at-Home Orders: Residents are advised or mandated to stay at home except for essential activities, such as buying groceries, seeking medical care, or going to work if their job is deemed essential.
- Closure of Non-Essential Businesses: Non-essential businesses, such as restaurants, bars, gyms, and entertainment venues, may be temporarily closed to reduce gatherings.
- Remote Work: Companies and organizations may implement work-from-home policies to minimize the number of people in offices and other workspaces.
- Travel Restrictions: Restrictions on domestic and international travel may be imposed to prevent the movement of individuals between regions and countries.
- Social Distancing: People are encouraged to maintain physical distance from others, typically around 6 feet.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 83,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 915,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- 4,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : A COVID-like global pandemic refers to the restrictions and measures implemented by authorities as pointed below: