Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience8aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.3%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 oct. 23, 22:05 UTC2 janv. 35, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Background: Several startups and research labs are currently working on gametogensis with gay couples in mind.
- Quibbles: Stillbirths or abortions don't count; the child must be viable for at least a day postpartum. "Gay couple" for the purposes of this market means two biological males or two biological females (regardless of gender identity or sexual orientation), not necessarily in a relationship with each other.
- The couple does not need to birth or carry the child to term themselves; surrogates are allowed/expected.
- See also: @/MetaculusBot/when-will-we-see-the-first-viable-h-19ca28a5b59f
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 71% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2035.
- Comment Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background: Several startups and research labs are currently working on gametogensis with gay couples in mind.