Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète9 mars 26, 15:45 UTC16 avr. 32, 14:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Can we give a birth to human from artificial womb in this decade?
Manifold MarketsWill a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift give birth to a baby in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a trans woman give birth before 2033?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran successfully attack major oil terminal in Persian Gulf by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Personal info: I'm 23, engaged, and planning to get married in the next ~1.5 years.
- My fiancé and I want three kids.
- I have no serious corporate career ambitions and would happily be a stay-at-home mom.
- We have a comfortable dual income and we save a lot.
- We will probably raise our first child in Toronto or a similar urban area.
- I previously wanted to be a mom in my mid-twenties, but now that I've moved to a bigger city I'm enjoying my irresponsible life and would now put the odds I give birth before age thirty at 40-60%, which is a pretty big window.
