Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard9 mars 26, 15:45 UTC16 avr. 32, 14:29 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Can we give a birth to human from artificial womb in this decade?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Personal info: I'm 23, engaged, and planning to get married in the next ~1.5 years.
- My fiancé and I want three kids.
- I have no serious corporate career ambitions and would happily be a stay-at-home mom.
- We have a comfortable dual income and we save a lot.
- We will probably raise our first child in Toronto or a similar urban area.
- I previously wanted to be a mom in my mid-twenties, but now that I've moved to a bigger city I'm enjoying my irresponsible life and would now put the odds I give birth before age thirty at 40-60%, which is a pretty big window.
