Who will be the first public figure to confidently claim that artificial intelligences are people? (add your own)
IA4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Other 54.6%En tête parmi 23 options
Other 54.6%Prévisionnistes
65
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète14 mai 24, 02:57 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
To qualify, a person must be well known before making claims about AI personhood (e.g. Blake Lemoine doesn't count).
- The figure must be prominent in the English-speaking world (i.e. all the criteria are English specific).
- The figure must also:
- Have a Wikipedia page
- Have at least 5 news articles centrally mentioning the person from different large media platforms such as the NYT, BBC, Fox News, etc. from before they made claims about AI personhood
- Have a (verified) social media account with 100k+ followers, a TED talk, a prominent role in a film, or a book